Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.452955 0.496923 0.544025 0.598360 0.659459 0.726213 0.804896
2026-01-18 0.381850 0.443056 0.513283 0.600345 0.706104 0.831328 0.992188
2026-01-25 0.341864 0.411870 0.496027 0.605711 0.746456 0.923143 1.165181
2026-02-01 0.305375 0.378548 0.469699 0.593201 0.758681 0.976417 1.290841
2026-02-08 0.282918 0.359516 0.457953 0.596000 0.788307 1.052443 1.453051
2026-02-15 0.261826 0.339784 0.442667 0.591299 0.805508 1.111125 1.595578
2026-02-22 0.246477 0.326083 0.433741 0.593628 0.831538 1.183477 1.765693
2026-03-01 0.230162 0.309587 0.419296 0.586204 0.841652 1.231930 1.902991
2026-03-08 0.215287 0.293914 0.404610 0.576746 0.847080 1.272626 2.031325
2026-03-15 0.199609 0.275987 0.385283 0.558478 0.836646 1.286153 2.113769
2026-03-22 0.193629 0.271702 0.385575 0.570077 0.874401 1.381879 2.353438
2026-03-29 0.187529 0.266770 0.384414 0.579042 0.908254 1.473976 2.598784
2026-04-05 0.180436 0.260034 0.380221 0.583068 0.934639 1.556759 2.840848
2026-04-12 0.173392 0.252958 0.375029 0.585011 0.957547 1.635756 3.087936
2026-04-19 0.167647 0.247525 0.372009 0.590210 0.986445 1.728713 3.378632
2026-04-26 0.158784 0.236651 0.359509 0.578088 0.982443 1.757521 3.533576
2026-05-03 0.153555 0.231301 0.355697 0.580800 1.006187 1.843543 3.831843
2026-05-10 0.147326 0.223988 0.348161 0.576245 1.015479 1.900892 4.072110
2026-05-17 0.142788 0.219201 0.344570 0.578502 1.038102 1.988388 4.401195
2026-05-24 0.136894 0.211866 0.336202 0.571307 1.041125 2.033870 4.631524
2026-05-31 0.131054 0.204349 0.327119 0.562141 1.039287 2.068297 4.838832
2026-06-07 0.124179 0.194782 0.313984 0.544434 1.018289 2.057186 4.920229
2026-06-14 0.122327 0.193726 0.315824 0.555677 1.059221 2.193555 5.442959